| Jazzed
for the NBA playoffs, but the foe is tough
By Dave Archer
April 20, 2007 | All is well in Jazz land . . . well,
sort of, anyway.
For the first time since 2003, when Karl Malone and
John Stockton still donned the purple and white, the
Utah Jazz are in the NBA playoffs. Three agonizing seasons
passed between now and the last Jazz playoff squad that
saw the lights of the then-Delta Center dark in April
and May with team members hitting the local links much
earlier than usual. After reaching the playoffs for
20 consecutive seasons between 1983-84 and 2002-03,
the three-year drought without a playoff appearance
was agonizing for the team's fans.
This season, however, saw the team finish with a 51-31
record, which was the highest win total since 2000-01,
when the team won 53 games. They became the early surpise
of the season, jumping out to a league best 12-1 record
over their first 13 games. There was also had a stretch
between late-January and mid-March that saw the team
win 14 of 16 games, all but securing the Northwest Division
crown and a return to the playoffs.
Individually, Carlos Boozer became one of the game's
premier power forwards, bouncing back from two injury-plagued
seasons with the Jazz to average 20.9 points and 11.7
rebounds per game. Point guard Deron Williams also made
huge strides this season, as the second-year player
averaged 16.2 and 9.3 assists per contest. Mehmet Okur
also had another strong season, as the 6-11 center averaged
17.6 points and 7.3 rebounds per game while shooting
46 percent from the field, including 38 percent from
behind the 3-point arc.
Despite the successes the team had, however, the last
two months of the season saw the proverbial wheels come
off, as the team crashed into the fourth seed in the
Western Conference and lost home court advantage in
the first round of the playoffs. The Jazz skidded to
a 6-12 record from mid-March to mid-April before finishing
the season by winning two meaningless games at home
against a depleted Portland Trailblazers squad and an
unmotivated Houston Rockets team that had secured home
court advantage against the Jazz in the playoffs just
two nights before.
The Jazz must now deal with Houston's two-headed monster
of Tracy McGrady and Yao Ming, who pose serious threats
to any chances the Jazz have of moving past the first
round. Although both McGrady and Ming missed a number
of games due to injury this season, the Rockets were
30-11 overall in the 41 games the two played together.
Unfortunately for Jazz fans, both are healthy and ready
to go for the playoffs.
McGrady had one of the best overall seasons of his
career, averaging 24.6 points, 6.5 assists and 5.3 rebounds
per game. It's McGrady's versatility that presents problems
for the Jazz, as he is capable of going off for 50 or
more points at any given time. The Jazz have proven
that they have trouble stopping the league's elite scorers,
giving up 50-plus points to an individual on multiple
occasions to similar players like Kobe Bryant, Ray Allen
and Gilbert Arenas. McGrady torched the Jazz for 44
points during the Rockets 100-86 victory over Utah in
January. For the Jazz to have any shot at winning the
series, they must be able to keep McGrady in check and
not allow him to take over the game.
Ming also presents the Jazz with a serious problem,
as the 7-6 center towers over anybody the Jazz can throw
at him. The fourth-year player has finally adjusted
to the physical style of the NBA and dominated the paint
for the Rockets, averaging 25.0 points, 9.4 rebounds
and 2.0 blocks per game. The Jazz will likely struggle
to control Ming, as both Boozer and Okur are definitely
not known as being lock down defenders.
The Jazz do pose a number of threats to Houston, however.
Williams has turned into the back court leader that
the franchise has lacked since Stockton retired in 2003.
His vision and ability to hit open teammates makes the
Jazz offense a tough one to stop. The inside/outside
tandem of Boozer and Okur will also create problems
for the Rockets, as Okur's range forces teams to either
leave him open to double Boozer in the paint or leave
Boozer to abuse his man one-on-one.
Overall, the series should be one of the best the
first round has to offer. Both teams play similar styles,
relying on half-court sets and execution to score the
bulk of their points. Given the way each team finished
the season (the Rockets won 13 of their last 18 games
while the Jazz were slumping) and the fact that Houston
has the home court advantage, the Rockets should be
able to squeak past a tough Utah squad. Prediction:
Rockets in seven
In other first-round match-ups:
Dallas vs. Golden State
This could be one of the most exciting match-ups of
the first round, as each team averaged over 100+ points
per game over the course of the regular season (Dallas
averaged 100.0 while Golden State averaged 106.5). Defensively,
however, is where Dallas sets itself apart from the
Warriors. Golden State gives up just about as much as
they score (106.2) while the Mavericks are capable of
locking down anyone on any given night, as they allowed
opponents to score just 92.8 points per game. The Mavericks
are hungry for a return to the NBA Finals and have too
many weapons in Josh Howard, Jason Terry and Jerry Stackhouse,
not to mention MVP candidate Dirk Nowitzki, for Golden
State to keep up with. Prediction: Mavericks
in five
Phoenix vs. Los Angeles
While there's no doubt that Kobe Bryant is the game's
best pure scorer since Michael Jordan, the Lakers have
little else to offer. It was Bryant's nine 50+ points
games this season that helped the team hang on to a
playoff spot. Phoenix, on the other hand, has the most
talented eight man rotation in the league, led by two-time
MVP Steve Nash. With the all-around game of Shawn Marion,
a healthy Amare Stoudemire and defensive stopper Raja
Bell, the Suns should no problem taking care of the
Lakers. Prediction: Suns in five
San Antonio vs. Denver
The Nuggets boast the league's top 1-2 scoring punch
in Allen Iverson and Carmelo Anthony. The superstar
duo finally gelled towards the end of the regular season,
helping Denver to win 10 of their last 11 games of the
season. San Antonio will counter with two-time MVP Tim
Duncan, Tony Parker and Manu Ginobili for the bulk of
their scoring, and will also rely on defensive specialist
Bruce Bowen to try and slow down Denver's potent offense.
Prediction: San Antonio in six
Detroit vs. Orlando
Detroit has been the model of consistency in the East
over the past decade, having reached the playoffs nine
of the past 11 seasons. They also still have Chauncy
Billups, Rip Hamilton, Tayshaun Prince and Rasheed Wallace,
all key members of their 2004 World Championship team.
Orlando, despite having one of the game's premier young
centers in Dwight Howard, will struggle to win even
one game against the East's best. Prediction:
Detroit in four
Cleveland vs. Washington
For most of the season, Washington was considered one
of the top teams in the Eastern Conference. The Wizards
boasted a potent offensive lineup that featured Gilbert
Arenas, Antawn Jamison and Caron Butler. However, after
Arenas and Butler suffered season-ending injuries late
in the season, the team slid all the way to the seventh
seed, barely hanging on to a playoff spot. Cleveland,
led by LeBron James, should be able to easily handle
the short-handed Wizards. Prediction: Cleveland
in four
Toronto vs. New Jersey
Toronto has been the league's biggest surprise this
year, turning what was a 27-55 team a season ago into
a 47-35 division champion. The Raptors possess one of
the league's brightest young stars in Chris Bosh, along
with an underrated supporting cast consisting of T.J.
Ford, Morris Peterson and rookie Andrea Bargnani. The
Nets big three of Jason Kidd, Vince Carter and Richard
Jefferson have the ability to do some major damage and
give the Nets a very good chance at pulling off the
upset. Prediction: Nets in seven
Miami vs. Chicago
The defending champion Heat struggled early on this
season, stumbling out of the gates to a 13-19 record
in November and December. From that point, however,
Miami went 31-19, led by last year's Finals MVP Dwayne
Wade and a resurgent Shaquille O'Neal, who bounced back
from an early-season injury to average 17.3 points and
7.4 rebounds per game. The Bulls also struggled early
on but bounced back to finish with the conference's
third best record. Chicago's young stars (Kirk Hinrich,
Ben Gordon and Luol Deng) should give the aging Heat
all that they can handle. Prediction: Bulls
in seven
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