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Why can't it work in Iraq?
By Shannon Johnson
March 7, 2007 | Iraq
is the beam in the eye of U.S. foreign policy, since
the invasion in late 2003 to when Saddam was executed.
Before the invasion Democratic Party leaders trumpeted
that causalities would be overwhelming and that the
Iraqi invasion would be sure to fail. In spite all their
cowardice Iraq proved to be one of the quickest invasions
since France last surrendered.
In December 2005, Iraq passed a constitution and the
people were liberated. But now that we have the occupation,
you have to think about the conflict in two parts: the
occupation and the war.
We won the war, much to the chagrin of the new majority.
Now we need to consider the occupation. With defeated
territory you have only two choices: you withdraw or
you annex, and I doubt we will be annexing Iraq though
it would improve the Democrats' chances in 2008.
"Peaceable
withdrawal" is the Democrats' ever-touted solution
of our new majority "successful withdrawal". "A quick
surrender," anything. One thing is for sure, the war
is not an issue for the presidential campaign.
No, the real problem with Iraq is that it established
a parliamentary government (similar to the British system).
In Iraq everyone votes and then whatever percentage
of the general election is won is given to that party
in the legislature. You vote for a party rather than
a candidate (unlike America, where the Supreme Court
then decides all things moral, political, and military).
In Parliament any party that forms a majority then
appoints the president, prime minister, and All the
judges in their Supreme Court (so just like the newsroom
for CBS there is no room for discussion).
Now that would not be a problem except there are three
major groups in Iraq: the Shiites, the Sunnis and the
Kurds.
The Shiites occupy a distinct majority of the populatio,n
and this means their party dominates the legislature.
Not an imagined domination, (in
spite of Hillary Clinton's assertion that a single
party has been running the White House "like a plantation
if you know what I mean.") In Iraq the Shiite party
will always dominate. So what is the solution?
If we leave Iraq the Shiites will take over faster
than Brittany Spears is with her razor blade .
Democracies main goal is simple to represent the views
of the majority, but without some representation for
minority political parties is it really possibly to
have a free democratic government?
But the question is how can we prevent the pending
disaster of the terrible blond wig the crazy pop star
has donned to try and fool us. Well we were dumb enough
to give her stardom, but in more pressing news, the
occupation Japan, Germany and most of western Europe
are all examples of U.S. occupations that were successful.
They also took more than three years for the confrontation
and reconstruction it was a lengthy and intensive process.
But they were successful; ever since World War II any
reconstruction has been relatively shoddy and politicians
are far more subject to the whims of the populace without
a unified voters.
A prominent example of early withdrawal is the reconstruction
after the Civil War the North remained and forced the
Southerners to concede rights to their former slaves.
But, once the North withdrew the Jim Crow laws were
introduced and repressed former slaves again. The North
withdrew due to a lack of support in the congressmen's
voting districts.
So one group again seized power, this is the fundamental
problem of a democracy. How do you stop the total domination
by the majority and represent all of these smaller interest
or ethnicities?
You fracture the majority party by introducing free
trade.
Rather than allowing for people to identify with their
tribe or ethnicity instead by introducing free economic
trade in time people can be more interested in being
farmers, shop owners, and keeping the economy stable.
Effectively dividing the parties to allow for turnover
in a democracy, but only if the economic environment
can remain stable long enough to allow for people to
re-align with seperate political parties.
But there is little hope for our long-term presences
in Iraq for their unfortunate citizens are soon to be
abandoned by voters who are just not interested in long-term
development.
The optimist can hope that the Shiite majority will
break up naturally, but maybe not or will break up take
place quickly enough to prevent the insurrections that
the minorities may form.
MS
MS |